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Week 3: Daily Fantasy Values/Non-Values

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One of the keys to winning at Daily Fantasy Football is not to pick the best players possible, but to get the most value out of the players you choose. Here are a few players who I think are underpriced this week and a few others who aren’t worth the big price tag. We will be using DraftKings’ set prices.

Underpriced:

Carson Palmer (ARI) vs SF; $6,600

For a guy who can potentially be a top 5 quarterback this weekend, getting him at just the 12th highest QB price is a great value. Palmer absolutely torched the Bears last week and has already thrown for 7 touchdowns this season. He faces a San Francisco defense that just gave up over 30 points to Ben Roethlisberger in standard leagues.

Nick Foles (STL) vs PIT; $5,200

Foles has yet to have an eye-popping performance so far, but this could be the week he wows fantasy owners. Foles his facing arguably the NFL’s worst secondary, as the Steelers have surrendered the most fantasy points to opposing QBs in the first two weeks. Foles is one of the cheapest starting QBs this week, so he makes for one of this week’s greatest bargains.

Dion Lewis (NE) vs JAX; $4,200

There’s a good chance that Lewis ends up as one of this week’s most popular starters, but can you disagree? The price is outstanding, the matchup is excellent, and Lewis should get plenty of touches, especially if the score gets out of hand (which it probably will).

Latavius Murray (OAK) vs CLE; $5,800

Murray has the ability to post top-5 numbers this week despite his top-15 price. Murray is facing a Browns defense that just allowed Dexter McCluster to run all over them, and he’s also coming off a very strong start vs the Ravens. Start him with confidence.

Brandon Marshall (NYJ) vs PHI; $6,200

Marshall is off to a great start so far, catching two TDs in two games and he’s going up against a very weak secondary. So why isn’t he getting a more hefty price tag? We don’t know, but that’s for you to take advantage of.

Allen Robinson (JAX) vs NE; $5,200

Robinson seems to be getting no respect despite last week’s great performance. Expect him to go off again, as the Jaguars will likely have to throw it often and the Patriots have given up the 3rd most points to WRs this year.

Donte Moncrief (IND) vs TEN; $4,800

Another great value for an underrespected receiver. Moncrief has led the Colts in receiving yards and touchdowns so far this year, and will be going up against a weak secondary with a QB hungry for his first victory.

Kyle Rudolph (MIN) vs SD; $3,300

If you’re not looking to spend much on a TE, Rudolph may be the option for you. In both of San Diego’s games this year, both opposing TEs found the end zone and let their team in receiving yards. Rudolph could make for a sneaky play this week.

Jets Defense (NYJ) vs PHI; $3,000

The Jets forced 5 turnovers Monday night vs Andrew Luck and the Colts, and will now be facing a struggling Sam Bradford and an injured Demarco Murray, who has been anything but effective so far.

Overpriced:

Drew Brees (NO) vs CAR; $7,500

Brees, who is expected to play Sunday, is not a good start for multiple reasons. First, the Saints may avoid throwing the ball often because of Brees’ ailing shoulder. Additionally, Carolina’s defense provides a tough matchup no matter who’s throwing the ball. It’s no question that Brees is a non-play in Daily Fantasy this week.

Jeremy Hill (CIN) vs BAL; $7,300

If you own Hill in your fantasy league, have no worry about starting him this week. In Daily Fantasy however, Hill is not worth the 5th-highest price tag for RBs this week. With guys like Marshawn Lynch and Jamaal Charles worth just $100 more, it’s better to go with the sure thing for that type of money.

C.J. Anderson (DEN) vs DET; $6,200

Anderson’s price has decreased due to his struggles, but it looks like it hasn’t decreased enough. Anderson is battling a toe injury and is yet to show any sign of life so far this year. Don’t fall into the trap of his good matchup, he’s not worth it until he proves himself.

Calvin Johnson (DET) vs DEN; $7,900

The normally-dominant Calvin won’t be as dominant this week. Johnson is facing one of the NFL’s elite secondaries and is dealing with a banged-up Matthew Stafford. Look elsewhere.

Brandin Cooks (NO) vs CAR; $7,100

Cooks has yet to score double-digits in a game this season, and that trend is likely to continue this week vs a solid Panthers defense and Drew Brees’ limited arm.

Jimmy Graham (SEA) vs CHI; $5,800

Graham simply isn’t the dominant force he was in New Orleans. Graham has been reduced to more of a blocking role this season, so the 2nd highest price tag among TEs seems like a very bad deal. There are so many better options out there for a much less expensive price.

Steelers Defense (PIT) vs STL; $3,000

The Steelers, as mentioned before, have been the NFL’s most pitiful secondary this season. Why spend $3,000 on them when you can get the Jets or Bills at equal price?

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