It’s Time to Believe in Khris Davis

Many people knock Milwaukee Brewers left fielder Khris Davis for his weak throwing arm and low batting average, and striking out too much and all that. For the sake of the Brewers, though, it would be a good idea to hang onto the power hitter.

Davis has raw power to him, and when he is going on a hot streak like he was in August, batting .228 with 10 home runs and 24 runs batted in. Clearly, the batting average is the only thing Davis needs to work on, but in his rookie season he did hit .279 in under 60 games. He hasn’t batted over .260 in a single month this season, but for a guy who will play 121 games just the season, it isn’t enough to judge him fully yet due to his torn meniscus.

Over a 162 game average for his career numbers, Davis would have 29 home runs, 81 runs batted in, and .245 batting average. His slugging percentage and on-base percent age are good, but yet people only want to focus on his batting average. He is a home run hitter, but he isn’t all home runs like some players before him have been. Davis can easy learn how to have a batting average next year, where I think we will see a .260 30 home run and 100 RBI season from him.

He has batted over .280 before in the minors, and per 600 at-bats this year, Davis would have 38 home runs. What makes it even better for the Brewers to wait for Davis to be fully ready during a rebuilding stage? How about this stat.

Since the date of his first Major League home run on July 23rd, 2013, Khris Davis ranks 3rd in the national league in home runs, trailing only Padres outfielder Justin Upton, and Miami Marlins right fielder Giancarlo Stanton (who by the way hits 41 home runs over a 162 game average, and was on pace for 60 bombs prior to his hand injury)

There are two things that kill Davis when it comes to batting average. He is batting .191 versus left handed pitchers, and .253 against right handed pitchers, while at Miller Park, he is batting .289. Every other place the Brewers travel, he is batting just .168.

Here is how Davis’ numbers line up in terms of his average, home runs, and runs batted in on multiple pitching counts.

0-0 count: .389 average, 7 home runs, 18 runs batted in.

0-1 count: .500 average, 1 home run, 5 runs batted in.

0-2 count: .158 average, 1 home run (which came last night), 3 runs batted in.

1-1 count: .345 average, 2 home runs, 8 runs batted in.

1-2 count: .117 average, 0 home runs, 2 runs batted in.

2-0 count: .222 average, 1 home run, 3 runs batted in.

2-1 count: .333 average, 2 home runs, 3 runs batted in.

2-2 count: .128 batting average, 2 home runs, 3 runs batted in.

3-0 count: (1 at-bat) 1.000 batting average, 0 home runs, 2 runs batted in.

3-1 count: .400 bating average, 0 home runs, 0 runs batted in.

3-2 count: .205 batting average, 3 home runs, 4 runs batted in.

So he struggles on two strikeouts like a majority of Major League players do. Khris Davis is going to explode for the Brewers next year, and you better believe it.

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Published by Tony Montalto

Twitter: @montalto_tony

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