One of the keys to winning at Daily Fantasy Football is not to pick the best players possible, but to get the most value out of the players you choose. Here are a few players who I think are underpriced this week and a few others who aren’t worth the big price tag. We will be using DraftKings’ set prices.
Underpriced:
Andy Dalton (CIN) at BUF; $5,700
It is usually assumed that the Bills have a dominant defense, but not so much this year. This is especially true when it comes to their pass defense, which is bottom 10 in the league. Andy Dalton has been on fire this season, so to have him only be the 15th most expensive QB this week is a great deal.
Teddy Bridgewater (MIN) vs KC; $5,300
Bridgewater makes for a great cheap option this week. He hasn’t put up great numbers so far this year, but QBs vs the Chiefs have, as the Chiefs have the 2nd worst fantasy defense vs QBs. The favorable matchup + Bridgewater’s rushing ability makes for a good DFS play.
CJ Anderson (DEN) at CLE; $4,500
Anderson has been on the overpriced list often this year, but all those bad performances have given him somewhat of value now. This is a great time to use him vs a bad rush defense and with a struggling Peyton throwing. This could be the game CJ rebounds, making him a potentially very rewarding play.
LeGarrette Blount (NE) at IND; $4,400
As a Patriot, Blount loves playing the Colts. Just take a look at his last two performances vs them: 24/166/4 and 30/148/3. Thats 7 rushing TDs and an average of 157 rushing yards. He has a very high boom potential at a very cheap price.
Brandon Marshall (NYJ) vs WAS; $7,100
Marshall has the most value of all the WR1 plays this week. The Redskins are much more weaker vs the pass than the rush, and Marshall has hit double digits in every game this season. Don’t expect that to end just yet.
Kendall Wright (TEN) vs MIA; $5,200
There are two things going for Wright this week: Wright complained earlier in the week about not getting the ball enough, so expect the Titans to supply his demands. Also, Wright has gone off every other week this year, so if the pattern continues, he should have a big week coming off a dud.
Anquan Boldin (SF) vs BAL; $4,300
Boldin, who is a top 10 receiver for me this week, is by far this week’s greatest value play. Boldin has stood out as the greatest target for Kaepernick, and the Ravens defense just became even thinner after losing another DB to a season-ending injury. Don’t be surprised if Boldin gets 20+ points.
Zach Ertz (PHI) vs NYG; $2,900
Ertz has another favorable matchup vs one of the league’s worst defenses vs tight ends. The Giants have let Charles Clay, Jordan Reed, and Garrett Celek go off on them in recent weeks. Ertz could make for a nice play if you’re looking to go cheap at the position.
Lions Defense vs CHI; $2,500
Despite the horrendous start the Lions are off to, their defense actually hasn’t been terrible. Pitting them against the Bears, who have given up the most fantasy points to defenses this year, the Lions provide a great value as one of this week’s cheapest defenses.
Overpriced:
Russell Wilson (SEA) vs CAR; $6,500
Wilson has failed to live up to fantasy expectations this season, and I don’t expect that to change now. Carolina’s secondary has successfully limited QBs so far, so expect the Seahawks to run the ball with Lynch instead of opting to pass.
Adrian Peterson (MIN) vs KC; $7,600
Peterson’s been great this year, but this isn’t the week to invest your money on him. Expect the Chiefs defense to focus on Peterson with Bridgewater’s struggles, which should let Bridgewater expose the Chiefs’ weak pass defense. In other words, the Vikings may not need Peterson like they usually do.
Dion Lewis (NE) at IND; $5,800
Lewis has been a fantasy darling this year, and daily fantasy players love to use him. However, this is a week that Lewis could flop. Not only is Lewis dealing with an abdomen injury, but as mentioned before, the Pats love to use Blount in this situation.
Antonio Brown (PIT) vs ARI; $8,300
Brown is on this list again despite his complaints to Mike Vick earlier this week. As the 2nd most expensive WR, Brown is simply not going to get the oppurtunities he usually gets because of the weak QB play. Not worth a DFS start until Big Ben returns.
Keenan Allen (SD) at GB; $7,600
Allen is listed as a top-7 receiver this week, but he’s battling a tough defense with a battered offensive line. Even if Green Bay builds a big lead and San Diego has to throw often, he’s not worth the expensive tag.
Jimmy Graham (SEA) vs CAR; $5,400
Graham has been on this list often this year, but for good reason: He is consistently one of the most expensive TE options despite his lack of production. Now facing the NFL’s best defense vs TEs, well, is their any good reason to start him?
Ravens Defense at SF; $3,400
Despite the great matchup, the 4th most expensive defense this week should not be used. Baltimore is hurt throughout their defense, most prominently in the secondary. The Ravens could flop like they did vs the Browns last week.
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